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(Wins are worth 1 point and draws half a point. Both were ultimately decided by faster tiebreaker games. In 2016, the regulation games saw just one win apiece and 10 draws, while 2018 featured 12 draws in a row. This year’s match will feature two more games than previous editions - 14 rather than 12 - in part, perhaps, so that these games are more likely to decisively deliver a champion in regulation. Simple computer simulations, based solely on the players’ current Elo ratings, give Carlsen a significant edge: Across many alternate universes, the Norwegian wins the match outright 83 percent of the time, while the rest of the time is roughly split between a Russian victory and a need for tiebreakers. However, two of Nepomniachtchi’s wins came when the pair were children, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. The two have met 13 times before in the sort of long, slow games that will decide the world championship, and Nepomniachtchi holds a 4-1 edge alongside eight draws, a remarkable score against the best in the world - and perhaps the best there’s ever been. “Ian could get totally destroyed if he plays like himself - or he could win a lot of games and win the match if he plays like himself.”Īs it happens, Nepomniachtchi has found success versus Carlsen in the past. “ style is opposite to Magnus’s, which is good,” said Ben Finegold, an American grandmaster, in his match preview. 1 Observers are celebrating this clash in styles, hoping that it will lead to sharp, decisive and entertaining games. Nepomniachtchi, on the other hand, is known for his aggressive offense and blazing speed over the board - he essays risky strategies while accumulating large time advantages over his opponents. Carlsen is known for his determined exactitude - he grinds down opponents meticulously, doggedly pursuing small edges to eventual victories.
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